← กลับไปยังห้องสมุด

รายการในอาร์คีฟ / 74โครงสร้างตลาด

[อัปเดต] DD: ฉันคำนวณแล้ว ไม่มีข้อสงสัยเลยว่าเราถือหุ้นที่เหลืออยู่มากกว่า 100% [รวมถึงจำนวนหุ้นที่เหลือที่อัปเดตจากคำชี้แจงของ GME]

ชื่อเรื่องต้นฉบับ

[UPDATED] DD: I did the math, there is literally NO DOUBT that we own >100% of the remaining float. [including updated remaining float from GME's proxy statement]

u/InForTheSqueeze5 การอ่านใช้เวลา (นาที)ดูโพสต์ต้นฉบับ ↗

การวิจัยชุมชนประวัติศาสตร์ · 2021 ข้อความและการพยากรณ์ของผู้เขียนถูกรักษาไว้ตามที่เขียนไว้ นี่คือข้อมูลประวัติศาสตร์ ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำทางการเงินในปัจจุบัน

การแปลโดยเครื่องต้นฉบับภาษาอังกฤษ ↗

การแปลโดยเครื่องถูกเตรียมขณะที่คุณอ่าน ต้นฉบับภาษาอังกฤษยังคงมีอยู่ข้างกับแต่ละย่อหน้าที่แปล รูปภาพต้นฉบับยังคงมีข้อความเดิม

กำลังเตรียมการแปล...

DD 👨‍🔬

(clears throat) "ehem !" First of all: Many thanks for all the great feedback you freaking apes gave me on my initial DD on r/GME. As some time (around 1 month) has passed and we have some new apes and apettes on board and some new information around my initial assumptions has been updated and revealed, I have decided to work on an updated version of my initial DD. So let's start right away, main changes are as follows:

UPDATE 24th April:

The release of GME's proxy statement revealed some new figures around the floating shares. Using figures from their 14A, we end up with around 26.6m remaining floating shares. (Please note that there are some approaches that calculate with an even lower number of floating shares, but lets stay conservative here). Credits to u/thr0wthis4ccount4way for putting this all together in a great overview post. Also check out the subreddit this is posted in for some high-quality DD. In addition to number of floating shares I have updated and added a lot of brokers to get a more and more precise picture of the total retail situation. I dont trust Bloomberg terminal in any way regarding individual ownership as numbers are heavily distored due to this fuckload of synthetic shares being around. Following brokers have been added since my first post:

• 	Saxo Bank,
• 	Lynx,
• 	Freedom 24,
• 	Hatch,
• 	Nordnet,
• 	Avanza,
• 	FP Markets,
• 	Questrade,
• 	Sharesies,
• 	Stake.

Following brokers have been identified as missing in my DD, but do not provide public information about user numbers:

• 	OnVista,
• 	Consorsbank,
• 	TD Canade Trust,
• 	CashApp,
• 	RBC,
• 	Passfolio,
• 	Firstrade,
• 	TradeStation,
• 	Citibank Brokerage
o 	Basically all major 'banks' that offer investment accounts.

Important: If you are investing with on of the abovementioned brokers, please reach out to them and ask about the total number of investment accounts (or even better about total number of users investing in $GME).

Enough blah blah, lets dive into the (updated) DD:

Okay fellow apes, listen up, here is some fresh updated DD straight out of the oven to feed your confirmation bias. 🚀

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 12992
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

tell me more about how you covered your shorts...

This is a screenshot taken today (24th April) from eToro:

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 12995
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

Seems like we like stock, huh?

Not to mention all the posts and screenshots from other investment brokers reporting GME as their current top traded stock for the past month(s):

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 12999
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

RBC statement for the month of March

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13001
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

selfwealth community checking in ! Thanks u/Chabkraken for sending this screenshot !

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13003
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

Europoors doing our part over here !

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13005
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

Fidelity checking in !

So i thought to myself, why don't we take this percentage from eToro and try to get an estimation about how many apes in total are holding GME right now and see where some variables regarding shares per ape get us. Are you exicted? Because I AM, LETS GO! 🚀🚀🚀 I spent the last hour(s) weeks or so researching the largest broker firms and gathered their total user numbers. This list is by far not complete which means that the % held by retail investors could be way way (!) higher than my estimates. Please let me know if you have access to more brokers data and i will update my list. Some friendly ape posted a statement from neo-broker Wealthsimple, thats states a GME-ownership of up to 14% (!) of their total users. Therefore I made assumptions regarding the share of users that invested in GME for each broker. For neo-brokers like eToro, Robinhood, Revolut and WeBull I went with an average of 10% GME ownership of all users. (Also included a scenario for only 5% GME- ownership for neo-broker, as some apes raised concerns that my 10% assumption may be too far on the optimistic side. Considering eToro stats i am more likely to lean on my 10% assumption, but in order to deliver a differentiated view, have your 5% scenario) Of course we have to consider that the average eToro/neo-broker user might have a higher risk tolerance and is more likely to invest in GME compared to the average boomer investor. So for 'classic' brokers that are more known for "passive investing" like Vanguard or Schwab I went with a lower share

of users that are invested in GameStop. Some brokers from the Nordics report an ownership of around 1.5% - 2.0% of their users, so lets go with 1.5% for the classic brokerages. Okay, now that we have a vague feeling of how many GME retail investors we are, lets play with some scenarios.

Scenario 1: GME-ownership of 5% for neo-brokers and 1.5% for classic investment platforms:

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13029
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

% of remaining float that is held by retail (Scenario 1)

Scenario 2: GME-ownership of 10% for neo-brokers and 1.5% for classic investment platforms:

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13032
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

% of remaining float that is held by retail (Scenario 2)

As you guys can see, even with our lowest assumptions we easily land in the +100% ballpark. And consider that this list does not contain all of the existing stock brokers or banks that offer investment accounts! Real numbers should be way way higher!

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13037
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

Also keep in mind that we have some huge individual whales among us, talking about u/DeepFuckingValue, u/HeyItsPixel, u/xeisu, u/Spielporn and many many more who hold xxxx shares. Oh no ! Looks like poor Kenny has to buy back our shares multiple times now.... Anyway!

รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย 74 / 13042
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

retail whale has entered the chat IMPORTANT: If you have access to more detailed data regarding number of users or even GME- ownership for a specific broker, please let me know via dm. There are too many comments here and it's hard to keep track of all of them. And please add your source (link or screenshot) so I can publish this here as well.

THIS OVERVIEW WILL BE UPDATED ON A REGULAR BASIS, SO MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW!! (no financial advice in any way)

EDIT 1 (25th April): First wave of comments and suggestions came in over night. Fixing some typos, updating numbers and adding brokers: Thanks u/InferiorMonkeyRobot, u/MAD_broker, u/AdministrativeTurn84 for an update on Avanza GME- Investors, checking in with 22,202 (+500 since last post). Thanks u/binge360 for pointing out missing broker Hargreaves Landsdown. Added to the list. Thanks, u/Icy_Rhubarb2857 for sharing most traded stocks from RBC statement for month of March. Thanks, u/Chabkraken for pointing out missing broker Selfwealth and sending through a screenshot about GME being traded as #1 stock. TA;DR 🚀🚀🚀: There is no way that retail holds less than 100% of the remaining float, the actuals number might be much (!!!) higher, maybe even in the 1000%+. Buckle up, because this rocket is about to enter fucking lightspeed! 🚀🚀🚀

It costs you nothing to hold, it costs them everything to cover. u/InForTheSqueeze, 2021, lelz

🚀

Sources: https://www.fidelity.com/about-fidelity/our-company https://about.vanguard.com/who-we-are/fast-facts/ https://www.brokerage-review.com/online-brokers/largest-online-brokers-by-size.aspx https://fortune.com/2021/02/02/robinhood-stock-trader-revolt-webull-alternative-china-app/ https://www.businessofapps.com/data/revolut-statistics/ https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20180911005141/en/Merrill-Edge-Hits-200-Billion-in-Assets- Under-Management https://www.comdirect.de/cms/ueberuns/de/presse/monatszahlen-april-2020.html https://www.interactivebrokers.eu/de/?f=564 https://flatexdegiro.com/en/company/who-we-are https://finanz-szene.de/digital-banking/trade-republic-duerfte-schon-um-die-500-000-kunden-haben/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freetrade https://www.wealthsimple.com/en-ca/magazine/gme-data https://www.interest.co.nz/personal-finance/108826/thousands-nzers-partake-gamestop-movement- sharesies-users-alone-make-20 https://www.home.saxo/about-us https://www.lynxbroker.de/ https://de.freedom24.com/about https://www.hl.co.uk/investor-relations/key-financial-data https://inspiredinvestor.rbcdirectinvesting.com/en/di/hubs/investing-academy/article/top-10-traded-stocks- in-march/kkr40d4p https://themarketherald.com.au/selfwealth-asxswf-finishes-december-quarter-with-yoy-revenue-growth- 2021-01-12/

คุณได้มาถึงสิ้นสุดของรายการนี้แล้ว

ดูโพสต์ต้นฉบับ ↗
เปิดรูปภาพขนาดเต็ม ↗
รูปภาพต้นฉบับ คลิกเพื่อขยาย

20 ภาษาที่สามารถสำรวจ

ภาษา

ภาษาที่แสดงครั้งแรกจะเลือกตามประเทศโดยประมาณของคุณเมื่อมีข้อมูล เบราว์เซอร์นี้จะจดจำภาษาที่คุณเลือกเป็นเวลาหนึ่งปีโดยใช้คุกกี้การตั้งค่า

العربيةArabic简体中文Chinese (Mandarin, Simplified)繁體中文Chinese (Mandarin, Traditional)NederlandsDutchEnglishEnglish (UK)FrançaisFrenchDeutschGermanहिन्दीHindiBahasa IndonesiaIndonesianItalianoItalian日本語Japanese한국어KoreanPolskiPolishPortuguêsPortuguese (Brazil)РусскийRussianEspañolSpanish (Spain)ไทยThaiTürkçeTurkishУкраїнськаUkrainianTiếng ViệtVietnamese