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Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, I am not a Financial Advisor .
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BEFORE READING
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IMPORTANT LINKS FOR NEW MEMBERS TO r/superstonk
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• APE Security Protocol (how to secure and protect yourself online)Mit Englisch vergleichen
• DD Beginners Guide PageMit Englisch vergleichen
• WikiMit Englisch vergleichen
Feel free to use the contents of this post however you want
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• Don't worry about asking for permission to:Mit Englisch vergleichen
o Copy it / cross-post it / translate it / refine it / Use it in your own postsMit Englisch vergleichen
o Do whatever you wantMit Englisch vergleichen
Leave a comment if you have any questions
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• If you prefer Chat or do not meet karma requirements, you can hit me up on chat as wellMit Englisch vergleichen
I have found myself more active on Twitter than I ever really expected to be and do what I can to support the SuperStonk and the broader Ape Community, so feel free to follow me if you want to see things like the below:
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• Future DD Notifications, and sharing of DD from other contributors and other importantMit Englisch vergleichen
SuperStonk Info
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• Shit-posting with the other Apes in the communityMit Englisch vergleichen
• Antagonizing Market Adversaries, MSM Shills, etc.Mit Englisch vergleichen
• Weaponization of Social MediaMit Englisch vergleichen
SERIES PREFACE
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WIP portions will be linked in the future, but I have included the high-level frame of what will be covered (subject to change)
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Part 1 - The Key Market Concepts that Make The MOASS Possible and Other Important Terminology - YOU ARE HERE
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• Stock/Securities ConceptsMit Englisch vergleichen
• Trade PositionsMit Englisch vergleichen
• Market ParticipantsMit Englisch vergleichen
• Important Market/Trade MechanicsMit Englisch vergleichen
• MOASS Breakdown of "How"Mit Englisch vergleichen
This Part overlaps a lot with content in The MOASS Thesis Summary DD (The MOASS Summary goes into a little more depth on the GME Thesis so it may be a good read if you have not checked it out in the DD Beginners Guide Menu), but includes some refinements
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Part 2 (WIP) - MOASS Mechanics, Landscape, Atmosphere, and Tactics: What "Normal" Looks Like in the Months/Weeks Leading to MOASS
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• TacticsMit Englisch vergleichen
o MSM PropagandaMit Englisch vergleichen
o Community InfiltrationMit Englisch vergleichen
o Price ManipulationMit Englisch vergleichen
o SteganographyMit Englisch vergleichen
• MechanicsMit Englisch vergleichen
o LoopholesMit Englisch vergleichen
o Patterns and CyclesMit Englisch vergleichen
• What does Normal Look Like (Expectations to set)Mit Englisch vergleichen
o Price MovementMit Englisch vergleichen
o MSM ContentMit Englisch vergleichen
o Shill ActivityMit Englisch vergleichen
Part 3 (WIP) - MOASS Mindset and Ways to Navigate
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• Think CriticallyMit Englisch vergleichen
• Understand "Why" You Believe in Your Thesis and the Basics "How" the Thesis is PossibleMit Englisch vergleichen
• Don't be afraid to ask questions to become learnedMit Englisch vergleichen
INTRODUCTION / INTENTION OF POST - PART 1
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Part 1 of this DD series is intended to break down the main market concepts that make the MOASS possible. These are all Fundamental Concepts that are not unique to GME. These terms are key to understanding the MOASS Thesis and speculated value of a GME investment. Hyperlinks to Investopedia, "the world's leading source of financial content on the web", have been included for most market terms and concepts and it is recommended to check them out if they are not clear. We will be breaking down some of the more complex terms and concepts within the post and framing them within the context of GME. Table of Contents for Key Concepts 1. Stocks Concepts a. Share/Stock b. Synthetic Shares c. Outstanding Shares d. Restricted Shares e. The Float 2. Trade Positions a. Long Position - Buying/Selling Stock b. Short Position - Shorting/Covering Stock c. Naked Short Position - Naked Shorting/Covering Stock 3. Market Participants a. Retail Investors b. Institutional Investors c. Market Makers d. Prime Brokers (Broker Dealers) and Brokers e. Clearinghouses
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f. Mainstream Media (MSM)Mit Englisch vergleichen
4. IMPORTANT MARKET/TRADE MECHANICS a. Fails to Deliver (FTD) b. Margin c. Margin Calls d. Margin Calls Who Calls Who e. Short Squeeze 5. MOASS Order of Operations
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1 - STOCKS CONCEPTS
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1.1 - Shares/Stock
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• Stocks and Shares are often used interchangeablyMit Englisch vergleichen
• Technically "shares" would represent how many of a specific company's stock, whereMit Englisch vergleichen
buying multiple "stocks" would main that shares of multiple company's were bought
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o ex. I bought 2 stocks; 10 shares of GME, and 60 shares of CHWYMit Englisch vergleichen
• There are different classes of shares that are distinguished on their voting rights, salesMit Englisch vergleichen
charges, and other factors
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o Classes of shares have relatively complex dynamics, but I will not goMit Englisch vergleichen
further into them here, as it is not as relevant to GME
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1. 2 - Synthetic Shares
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Synthetic Shares are the financial instruments that get produced through Naked Shorting
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• Not to be confused with synthetic options positions, which are legal/legitimate tradeMit Englisch vergleichen
strategies that "simulate" the profits/losses as if the trader actually held those shares
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• Synthetic shares entitle the owner to all of the same rights as an investor owning a non-Mit Englisch vergleichen
synthetic share
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• Cases where there is an excessive amount of synthetic shares point to the possibility thatMit Englisch vergleichen
a stock is being abused or manipulated
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• Cannot be easily measured due to limited public transparency at the Market Maker andMit Englisch vergleichen
Prime Broker level
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1.3 - Outstanding Shares
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The number of Outstanding shares encompasses the amount of issued shares held by all shareholders (both private and public)
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• It is possible for there to be more shares outstanding through Naked shorting, whichMit Englisch vergleichen
produces Synthetic shares
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• The number of issued AND synthetic shares outstanding is very difficult to measure, asMit Englisch vergleichen
they are only recorded on the books of the market makers generating synthetic shares and the prime-brokers they trade through
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o These parties are not incentivized to be transparent and actively obscureMit Englisch vergleichen
these numbers, as the practice of naked shorting excessively is fraudulent and illegal
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1.4 - Restricted Shares
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Restricted shares include the number of issued shares held by insiders of the company
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• These shares are not publicly traded on the stock marketMit Englisch vergleichen
1.5 - The Float
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The Float, or Floating Stock is the number of shares of stock that are available to be publicly traded (the number of Outstanding shares minus the amount of Restricted shares that are owned by insiders).
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• In theory, the number of shares owned by retail investors and institutional investors shouldMit Englisch vergleichen
not exceed the float
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• GME’s float total is currently ~56.89 Million shares (as of 6/10/21)Mit Englisch vergleichen
2 - TRADE POSITIONS
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2.1 - Long Position - Buying/Selling Stock
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When an investor buys a stock they are considered long on it (this is the type of position most people associate with trading stocks)
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• Not to be confused with a long-term investmentMit Englisch vergleichen
• In other words, holders of long positions have a positive number of sharesMit Englisch vergleichen
• To close a long position the owner would sell their shares on the stock marketMit Englisch vergleichen
Basic flow of obtaining/closing a long position is: 1. Buy the stock 2. Hold it until the price of it increases to a desired amount 3. Sell it for a profit
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2.2 - Short Position - Shorting/Covering Stock
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When a short seller shorts a stock they hold a short position on the stock, or owe the party they borrowed from however many shares they shorted
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• Not to be confused with a short-term investmentMit Englisch vergleichen
• Investors with short positions effectively are in debt or owe the number of shares thatMit Englisch vergleichen
they have shorted and can be considered negative on the stock
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• To close that position, short-sellers must buy a number of shares equal to the size of theirMit Englisch vergleichen
short position (buying to close a short position is known as covering)
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• Short positions must be reported to regulators (unlike naked short sales)Mit Englisch vergleichen
Basic flow of obtaining/closing a short position: 1. Borrow a share owned by a lender 2. Sell the stock that was borrowed 3. Gaining the cash based on the price it was at the time it was “shorted” 4. Pay interest as a percentage of the stock's value 5. Since this is a percentage the cost of interest increases if the stock's value increases 6. Hold the position until the price has dropped to a desired price 7. Buy the stock on the open market 8. Ideally the stock is bought back at a lower price than originally borrowed for so the investor can pocket the difference 9. Return the share back to the lender
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2.3 - Naked Short Position - Naked Shorting/Covering Stock
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Naked Shorting effectively allows a Short Seller, working with a market maker, to short a stock using a without having a borrowed share like normal short selling
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• Naked short sales do NOT have to be reported the same way as normal "Short Sales" andMit Englisch vergleichen
can be "hidden"
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o Failures to Deliver the shares that were "fake-borrowed" to the buyer areMit Englisch vergleichen
on of the main ways to find evidence of naked shorting
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• Due to a loophole and lack of oversight by regulation, Naked short selling can be used toMit Englisch vergleichen
manipulate the price of certain stocks
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o This type of trade illegal outside of specific situations involving MarketMit Englisch vergleichen
Makers
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• Naked shorting was targeted for tighter regulation during the financial crisis of 2008 butMit Englisch vergleichen
enforcement has unfortunately not been effective in preventing it from manipulating the market Basic flow of obtaining/closing a naked short position (kind of complex and involves two specific parties for 2 initial trades called a married put) 1. A Short Seller "A" buys 100 shares from a Market Maker "Z" who can technically sell them without locating them a. Market Maker is Naked Shorting the stock, and the Short Seller is receiving 100 synthetic shares 2. Short Seller "A" now buys a Put Option (1 options contract is worth 100 shares) from Market Maker "Z" who is the writer of the put (Writing a put does not require the writer to have the shares on hand) a. Writing/selling a put nets +100 shares to the Market Maker, which results in the -100 shares that were naked shorted to be neutralized, so the Market Maker no is at a neutral position (Market Makers generally try to remain net 0 on trades b. Short Seller "A" now has 100 shares that can be short sold (they "borrowing" the synthetic shares the Market Maker effectively printed out of thin air), and one put contract that they can make money on as long as the price goes down 3. The steps or the short seller are basically the same as a normal short sale now (2.2 steps 2-8), however, interest from the Short seller does not need to be paid to a lender (no one is formally lending it) a. The premium from the put being purchased from the Market Maker is how they benefit b. Short Seller "A" now has a short position that they can cover simply by
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buying 100 shares, which would cancel out the synthetic short position
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3 - MARKET PARTICIPANTS
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3.1 - Retail Investors
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• Retail Investors, also known as individual investors, are your average investors (not aMit Englisch vergleichen
company or organization)
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• Referred to as the "Dumb Money" by Wall Street and the "professional" financialMit Englisch vergleichen
community
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• Reddit communitiesMit Englisch vergleichen
• u/DeepFuckingValue (@TheRoaringKitty on Twitter)Mit Englisch vergleichen
3.2 - Institutional Investors
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Institutional Investors are organizations that invest on individuals' behalf
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• Examples of Institutional InvestorsMit Englisch vergleichen
o Endowment FundsMit Englisch vergleichen
o Commercial BanksMit Englisch vergleichen
o Mutual FundsMit Englisch vergleichen
o Hedge fundsMit Englisch vergleichen
o Pension fundsMit Englisch vergleichen
o Insurance companiesMit Englisch vergleichen
Notable institutional Investors involved in the GME Saga so far
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• RC Ventures LLC (LONG)Mit Englisch vergleichen
o To Apes: Ryan "Buckle Up" Cohen, AKA GameStop Chairman, AKA BringerMit Englisch vergleichen
of SHF Tears 🥰
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o To SHFs and Market Manipulators: DoomMit Englisch vergleichen
• BlackRock (Long)Mit Englisch vergleichen
• Vanguard Group (Long)Mit Englisch vergleichen
• Fidelity (Long) - May not have an active position on GME SpecificallyMit Englisch vergleichen
• Melvin Capital (Short)Mit Englisch vergleichen
• Shitadel Advisors (Short)Mit Englisch vergleichen
• Point72 (Short)Mit Englisch vergleichen
3.3 - Market Makers
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Market Makers can be Hedge Funds, Brokers, or Prime Brokers, who, rather than investing and holding long or short positions, they profit by ensuring there is liquidity in the market buy simultaneously submitting buy AND sell orders close to the current price (they play both sides of the market and must always have shares to buy and sell)
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• Market Makers ensure that if some another investor wants to buy or sell shares near theMit Englisch vergleichen
current price of a stock, there is a corresponding buyer/seller on the other side of the trade offering to trade (for availability essentially)
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o They will normally offer to buy at an amount that is a bit lower (generallyMit Englisch vergleichen
fractions of a percent away) than the last price a share was sold for, or sell at a price that was a bit higher than the last price a share was sold for Ex. Lets say current share price is $200$; A Market Maker might have a buy order for 100 shares at $199.75, and have sell orders for 100 shares at $200.25, so assuming both of those trades execute, they net $50 on those 100 shares ($0.50 * 100 shares)
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o Generally, Market Makers intend to remain Net Neutral on their positions,Mit Englisch vergleichen
making money based on volume traded, rather than holding positions long enough for them to increase or decrease
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o They employ High Frequency Trading systems (computers) and algorithmsMit Englisch vergleichen
to facilitate trading
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• When you buy and sell stock those trades are often trading between you and a marketMit Englisch vergleichen
maker
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• Market makers get "special rules" that enable them to keep liquidity in the market whenMit Englisch vergleichen
there is low liquidity
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o Naked shorting is one of the options Market Makers have when navigatingMit Englisch vergleichen
a trade that other investors do not have Notable Market Makers
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• Shitadel SecuritiesMit Englisch vergleichen
o While part of "Shitadel" this organization is separate from the Hedge FundMit Englisch vergleichen
(Shitadel Advisors)
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• Virtu FinancialMit Englisch vergleichen
• Credit Suisse SecuritiesMit Englisch vergleichen
• Deutsche Bank SecuritiesMit Englisch vergleichen
• Goldman Sachs and CompanyMit Englisch vergleichen
3.4 - Prime Brokers (Broker Dealers) and Brokers
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A Prime-Broker is a bundled group of services that investment banks and other financial institutions offer to hedge funds and other large investment clients that need to be able to borrow securities or cash in order to engage in netting to achieve absolute returns
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• Broker vs Prime-BrokerMit Englisch vergleichen
o A broker is an individual or entity that facilitates the purchase or sale ofMit Englisch vergleichen
securities, such as the buying or selling of stocks and bonds for an investment account. A prime broker is a large institution that provides a multitude of services, from cash management to securities lending to risk management for other large institutions.
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• While Brokers often route trades through Market Makers, MMs also through and receiveMit Englisch vergleichen
margin from Prime Brokers
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o The Prime Broker is who would Margin Call Shitadel if their short positionMit Englisch vergleichen
gets too large or they bleed too much capital
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• Retail investors trade through and receive margin from Brokers (not Prime Brokers)Mit Englisch vergleichen
3.5 - Clearing Houses
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Clearinghouses are intermediaries between buyers and sellers
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• Finalize transactionsMit Englisch vergleichen
• Regulates delivery of assetsMit Englisch vergleichen
• Reports on trading dataMit Englisch vergleichen
3.6 - MSM (Mainstream Media)
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Though not a traditional market participant (as in they are not trade/financial entities) the MSM is worth noting due to its role in influencing the financial atmosphere and landscape
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• The MSM (specifically the Financial Media in this case) overall is motivated throughMit Englisch vergleichen
sponsors and through ratings
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o They often cover topics based on what their sponsors want them to cover,Mit Englisch vergleichen
and/or those that are more likely to draw many viewers
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• The Financial Mainstream media comes in many formsMit Englisch vergleichen
o News ArticlesMit Englisch vergleichen
o BlogsMit Englisch vergleichen
o TelevisionMit Englisch vergleichen
o NewspaperMit Englisch vergleichen
4 - IMPORTANT MARKET/TRADE MECHANICS
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4.1 - Failures to Deliver (FTD)
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FTDs occur when a buyer of a stock ends up not having the money to purchase the stock that they traded for OR, when a short seller does not own the stock at the time of settlement
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• FTDs are one of the main check-balances to naked shorting, so very high amounts ofMit Englisch vergleichen
Failures to Deliver are indicative of this
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o Spoiler: GME has tons of FTDs reportedMit Englisch vergleichen
• FTDs are supposed to be covered within a specific time period in order to avoid violationMit Englisch vergleichen
of regulatory rules Cycles Our understanding regarding the "rules" of T+21 and T+35 Cycles was constructed in The SECs Key Points About Regulation SHO T+21 Cycle When there are Failures to Delivery that are not satisfied by the required time period (T+4 for Short Sales and T+6 for Long Sales, a Market Maker must satisfy the FTD within 13 days following the T+4/6
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• If it was for a long sale that Failed to Deliver, T+6 (7 Days including the trade day) plusMit Englisch vergleichen
another 13 consecutive days (14 Days including the failed settlement day), amounts to 21 days (this is where the T+21 Cycle comes From) T+35 Cycle If a FTD passes through T+21, there is a maximum time of 35 calendar days after the initial trade date that the firm clearing the trade must pre-borrow (purchase) the share to satisfy the FTD
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• In theory, to avoid breaking the rules, Failures to Deliver must be satisfied some timeMit Englisch vergleichen
within 35 Calendar Days of the trade date
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4.2 - Margin
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• Margin is basically credit that that an investor can use to buy more stockMit Englisch vergleichen
• When you buy on margin you must stake the assets you have already purchased withMit Englisch vergleichen
your own cash as collateral
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• The amount of Margin you can have depends on the value of your collateralMit Englisch vergleichen
• The value of your collateral and cash but meet the margin requirements in order toMit Englisch vergleichen
continue to buy on margin
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• Keep in mind the value of your collateral can change if the price goes up or down and ifMit Englisch vergleichen
the value of your collateral/cash drops below the margin requirement you will received a Margin CallAnother way to think about it: 1. Imagine I have $1,000 in stock 2. You obtain a personal loan for another $1000 3. To get the credit you stake your $1000 in stock (if you default it goes to the lender to cover your debt) 4. You buy $1000 more stock with that loan (you now own $2000 in stocks, half in cash half on margin) 5. You will pay interest on the $1000 on margin but if your investment makes more money than the interest then you are still profiting 6. If your investment turns bad (lets say the price of your stock falls 50% and you are left with $1000) your lender can forcibly close out your positions (everything you bought in cash and staked as collateral along with what you bought on margin so that they can get the $1000 they loaned you back)
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4.3 - Margin Call
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• A Margin Call is a notice indicating you have a specific amount of time to deposit enoughMit Englisch vergleichen
of your own funds to meet your margin requirement (if you cannot meet the requirement the lender is entitled to sell all of your holdings to recover what you borrowed Margin Examples: This is a slightly complicated scenario that can be a little hard to follow. Give it a few reads if it doesn't make sense the first time, but basically, Margin is a credit line that you can use to buy more assets (effectively a loan backed by collateral and cash in your own account). If you buy assets with it, you have to pay back what you borrowed, whether the value of your investment goes up or down (if the investment goes up in value, you make more than you normally would, but if the investment goes down in value, you lose more than you otherwise would have without margin). This gets even more (or less maybe) complicated when you have short positions AND long positions, like most institutional investors. To have short positions, I still need to have margin, but I do not need to use it to buy stocks, It can act as a buffer if I have a short position on a stock that is increasing in value (with a short position, if the price of something I short goes up, I am losing money), and if it gets too high, it can run against my margin line, causing a margin call. GAIN: Long Positions 1. Imagine I have $1000 in stock XXX (let's say 10 shares worth $100 each) 2. My broker may lend me margin credit line equal to the value of my assets (so $1000 in margin), and let's say they give me a margin requirement of $800, meaning that the value
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of my non-margin assets (the ones I bought with my money) must be above $800 in order to keep using margin (so as long as stock XXX stays above $80 a share, then I will not get a margin call for being below the requirement) 3. I then choose to use the margin, buying 10 more shares of stock XXX for $100 each, so I now have 20 shares of stock XXX, valued at 100$ a piece 4. If the price of stock XXX goes up to %25 per share, and I sell all 20 shares, I just profited $500 (+$25 on 20 shares) a. In this case, closing the position clears me from the margin debt, as I am no longer using it in an open position b. If I had not used margin, I would have only walked away with $250 in profit ($25 per share on 10 shares), but instead I made $500, and paid back the credit, plus a little bit of interest. 5. Yay. LOSS: Long Positions 1. Imagine I have $1000 in stock XXX (let's say 10 shares worth $100 each) 2. My broker may lend me margin credit line equal to the value of my assets (so $1000 in margin), and let's say they give me a margin requirement of $800, meaning that the value of my non-margin assets (the ones I bought with my money) must be above $800 in order to keep using margin (so as long as stock XXX stays above $80 a share, then I will not get a margin call for being below the requirement) 3. I then choose to use the margin, buying 10 more shares of stock XXX for $100 each, so I now have 20 shares of stock XXX, valued at 100$ a piece 4. If the price of stock XXX goes down %25, bringing the value per share down to $75 a
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share, the value of my total position is now $1500, and the value of my non-margin assets is $750, which is below the margin requirement (keep in mind, I borrowed $1000, so that is still the amount I have to pay back) 5. My lender will give me a margin call, indicating I have two business days to deposit 50$ into my account in order to meet the margin requirement a. If I have the cash to deposit the extra $50 would take my assets to $800 ($750 in stock XXX + 50$ cash)
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i. If the price of stock XXX recovered to above $80 per share, itMit Englisch vergleichen
could also satisfy the requirement b. If I do not have the cash to deposit, then I am in trouble, as after two days, they are allowed to liquidate (sell) the assets I bought with my own money, as well as the assets I bought on margin
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i. Let's say this happens, all my borrowed assets are sold firstMit Englisch vergleichen
to cover my $1000 loan (since the price of stock XXX was only $750, it only covers $750 of my $1000 margin line
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ii. I now have $750 left in assets of Stock X, but I still oweMit Englisch vergleichen
money from margin, so my lender is entitled to sell $250 work of my shares in order to get their full $1000 back
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iii. I am now left with $500 total ($750 in 10 shares of stockMit Englisch vergleichen
XXX - $250) 6. Not Yay LOSS: Short and Long Positions THIS IS THE RELEVANT ONE TO GME 1. Imagine I have $1000 in stock XXX (let's say 10 shares worth $100 each) 2. My broker may lend me margin credit line equal to the value of my assets (so $1000 in margin), and let's say they give me a margin requirement of $800, meaning that the value of my non-margin assets (the ones I bought with my money) must be above $800 in order to keep using margin 3. Instead of using the margin to buy more, I instead short 10 shares of stock YYY which is at $50 a share currently (giving me $500 in extra cash), which I use to buy 5 more shares of stock X a. I am now long 15 shares of stock XXX valued at $1500 and short 10 shares of stock YYY valued at -$500 (negative $500) for a net value of $1000 b. No margin is actively committed to open positions, and I am still using my $1000 4. Now, lets say a short squeeze happens involving stock Y, causing the price to skyrocket to $200 per share a. My short position is now -$2000 (10 shares of -$200 each) 5. My net account value is now $-500 ($1500 - $2000) which is now using my margin, and because my account's value is no longer above $800, I no longer meet margin requirements so I get a margin call 6. If I cannot balance my account, the lender will liquidate my $1500 in stock XXX in order to pay the -$2000 I owe, leaving me with -$500 left in debt a. I have now defaulted, as I cannot pay the $500 7. Now that I have defaulted, the lender who gave me margin owns my short positions,
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meaning they are now short whatever was left a. The lender can now navigate the short positions however they want (they can hold them and hope the price goes down, and cover to close them, or they can close them immediately, costing them the whole $500 I still owed) 8. GUH!
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4.4 - Margin Calls Who Calls Who
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Margin calls happen at levels 1-4 when the cell to the left cannot meet margin requirements
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• Broker Margin Calls Retail TradersMit Englisch vergleichen
• Prime Brokers Margin Call Brokers, Hedge Funds, and Market MakersMit Englisch vergleichen
• The NSCC Margin Calls Prime BrokersMit Englisch vergleichen
• Defaults roll up left to rightMit Englisch vergleichen
o If Retail Trader defaults, Broker must take on their leftover positionsMit Englisch vergleichen
o If Broker, Hedge Fund, or Market Maker defaults, the Prime Broker mustMit Englisch vergleichen
take on their leftover positions
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o If Prime Broker Defaults, the NSCC must take on PositionMit Englisch vergleichen
o If the NSCC Defaults, the Fed must take on the positionMit Englisch vergleichen
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 4 Mit Englisch vergleichen
Retail Trader Broker Prime Broker NSCC (DTCC) Fed (JPOW)Mit Englisch vergleichen
x Market Maker Prime Broker NSCC (DTCC) Fed (JPOW)Mit Englisch vergleichen
x Hedge Fund Prime Broker NSCC (DTCC) Fed (JPOW)Mit Englisch vergleichen
4.5 - Short Squeeze
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A Short Squeeze is a market event that occurs when there is a large short position on a stock whose price rapidly increases higher than expected, normally due to a catalyst
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• During the short squeeze, the losses of those who have short positions continue toMit Englisch vergleichen
increase higher it goes
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o Since they owe shares, the cost to cover their position increases dependingMit Englisch vergleichen
on how high the price goes (there is theoretically no limit on how high a stock can go)
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• As market participants who are short on the stock buy to cover, supply decreases andMit Englisch vergleichen
demand increases, causing the price to increase even more rapidly
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• While short sellers are scrambling to cover their positions, the rapid price change mayMit Englisch vergleichen
entice investors who are not short on the stock to buy it in order to make a quick profit
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o Again, lowering supply and increasing demandMit Englisch vergleichen
TL;DR
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Obligatory TL;DR (Closest thing to one is section 5)
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5 - MOASS Breakdown of "How"
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The main point of the post is to read and understand section V, but here is section IV to act as a TL:DR 1. Toxic Market Participants have built up massive short positions made through Naked Shorting 2. Retail caught on to this strategy and discovered it can backfire if the company being shorted does not go bankrupt, especially if shares are bought and held indefinitely 3. Rules and regulations have implemented by the DTCC and its subsidiaries have been geared towards preventing market collapse, as well as to minimize the ability to perform illegal trades (naked shorting) 4. The SEC is also doing more to enforce compliance with the "rules" 5. The manipulators are at the mercy of a vicious trade cycle (T+21/35 FTD Cycle) that is forcing those with naked short positions to perform actions to cover (buy back shares that are short), or risk regulatory consequences 6. This act of rapid covering drives up the price, making it more expensive to cover during the next cycle if the share price continues to increase week over week 7. Eventually, the prices of GME will get so high that prime brokers will have no choice but to Margin Call these participants which most likely will not be meetable due to the nature of Short Squeezes, causing them to default and be forcibly liquidated 8. The Prime-Brokers will then take on the position, and if the Prime Brokers cannot cover them and also defaults, the NSCC will be next to attempt to settle all positions left over based on their Recovery and Wind-down Plan (p42)
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9. If NSCC cannot afford to close everything with the money reserved for this type of situation, they the Fed must navigate the remaining positions (potentially via printing money/bailout)